The Bitcoin Supply Shock to the System

Crypto with Lorenzo
6 min readApr 2, 2024

Most won’t appreciate this until it’s too late.

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0.84 and 450. Take note of these numbers.

In about 18 days, Bitcoin’s network will slash the block rewards offered to miners to 3.125.

It still sounds like a lot, considering BTC’s hovering around the $70K mark at the time of writing. However, to put this into perspective, in its early years (2009–12), this was 50 BTC, 16x higher than the post-halving amount, at a time when you could still mine BTC on a CPU or GPU vs an energy-intensive ASIC miner.

Cool story; who cares?

You should care, especially if you want to profit from this market.

The TL;DR is that it immediately doubles the supply-and-demand ratio (assuming the latter remains constant) and generally leads to Bitcoin’s price comfortably doubling its previous all-time high (ATH).

Based on the last two major cycles, it is at least triple the previous ATH — $20K in 2017 and ~$69K in 2021.

This time, Bitcoin has done something unique: It set a new ATH before an upcoming halving event, reaching $73K.

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